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Monsoon Surge to Drench North and Central Kerala in Coming Days
26 Aug
Summary
- Moderate to heavy monsoon activity expected in Kerala, except southern districts
- Low-pressure area over Bay of Bengal to re-energize monsoon winds
- Kerala faces 15% shortfall in monsoon rainfall so far this season
As of August 26th, 2025, Kerala is bracing for a surge in monsoon activity over the next few days. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), a low-pressure area has formed over the northwest Bay of Bengal, which is expected to consolidate and move west-northwestwards, becoming more marked in the next two days.
This system is likely to re-energize the weak westerlies prevailing over the region, triggering heavy rainfall along the core monsoon areas of the west coast, including north and central Kerala. A yellow alert has been issued for nine districts in the state, where rainfall in the range of 64.5 mm to 115.5 mm is anticipated on Wednesday.
However, the heavy rainfall is not expected to continue into September, as the system is likely to weaken after the initial intensification. Currently, Kerala has a 15% shortfall in rainfall during the ongoing southwest monsoon season, receiving 1,430 mm of rain as of August 26th, compared to the average of 1,691.7 mm for this period. The active surge during the final days of August is expected to bring down the shortfall to some extent, but it may not be completely wiped out.
