Monsoon Mayhem: North and Central India Brace for Prolonged Wet Weather

According to the latest weather forecasts, the wet weather pattern that has been affecting North and Central India in recent months is expected to continue through mid-September 2025. The India Meteorological Department's extended range forecast shows that above-normal rainfall is likely over several parts of the region until at least September 4, with largely wet conditions expected to persist until September 18.

This prolonged monsoon activity is a result of the interaction between western disturbances and monsoon winds, which has already led to extreme rainfall and flooding in areas like Jammu, Kashmir, and Himachal Pradesh. As of late August, the highest flood levels were crossed at 5 sites in the Chenab and Tawi rivers, with water levels continuing to rise in the Tawi river.

While the intensity of rain is expected to gradually decrease over Jammu, Kashmir, and Himachal Pradesh, rainfall is forecast to continue over the northern, central, and even western parts of the country. Weather experts predict that a well-marked low-pressure area will traverse central India, bringing more rain, and another low-pressure system is expected to develop around September 3, further adding to the wet conditions.

Overall, the monsoon season has seen a 5% excess in rainfall across India since June 1, with a 23% surplus over the northwest region. However, the east and northeast have experienced an 18% deficiency. As the wet weather persists, authorities will need to remain vigilant and prepared to address any potential flooding or other weather-related challenges in the affected areas.