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Spring Flooding Risk Below Average, Experts Say
7 Mar
Summary
- Below-average spring flood risk predicted by National Weather Service.
- Low snowpack in Minnesota is a key factor in reduced flood predictions.
- Red River Valley has a higher chance of minor or moderate flooding.
As of March 7, 2026, the National Weather Service indicates a below-average risk for widespread spring flooding. This optimistic outlook is primarily driven by significantly low snowpack levels across Minnesota, with most southern regions reporting no snow and northern areas experiencing below-normal accumulation.
Senior service hydrologist Shawn DeVinny explained that dry soil conditions also contribute to the reduced flood risk. Parts of Minnesota, including Duluth and the Upper Mississippi area, are still experiencing drought, requiring substantial precipitation to alter the current outlook.
Despite the generally low risk, river flooding remains a possibility, particularly in the Red River Valley, which has over a 50% chance of minor or moderate flooding. DeVinny cautioned that rapid runoff from heavy rainfall on frozen ground could still lead to unexpected flooding events, emphasizing the need to monitor short-term forecasts.
