Forecasters Monitor Potential Storm Development in Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic

As of October 5, 2025, the Atlantic hurricane season has been relatively quiet, with forecasters closely watching for any potential storm development that could impact the United States.

A weak area of low pressure has formed over the north-central Gulf of Mexico, producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday. However, development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.

Meanwhile, a tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this wave is possible over the next few days, and it could become a tropical depression by the middle to latter part of next week as it moves across the central tropical Atlantic and approaches the Leeward Islands.

So far, the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season has been running a bit below normal for named storms and hurricanes, but above-normal for major hurricanes. This marks the first year in a decade that the U.S. has not experienced a direct hit by a hurricane by the end of September. However, experts warn that it's wise to remain on guard for future activity, as seven storms formed in the last two months of the 2024 season, including four hurricanes.