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2026 Hurricane Season: Below-Average Forecast, But Be Prepared!
2 Jun
Summary
- NOAA predicts 8-14 tropical storms, with 1-3 major storms.
- Carolinas are a high-risk area for direct hurricane impacts.
- Hurricane categories are based on wind speed using Saffir-Simpson scale.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season commenced on Monday, June 1st, with forecasters from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicting a below-average season. Despite this forecast, meteorologists emphasize the importance of continued vigilance and preparedness.
NOAA anticipates between eight and fourteen named tropical storms, with one to three potentially developing into major hurricanes. This prediction falls below the 1991-2020 average of fourteen tropical storms and seven hurricanes annually. The Carolinas are highlighted as a region with a high risk for direct storm impacts, alongside the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast.
Even with a near-normal storm activity forecast, any hurricane impacting the inland areas could bring substantial rainfall and localized flooding. Parts of South Carolina remain particularly vulnerable, still recovering from Hurricane Helene which caused widespread water damage and disrupted drainage systems. Saturated soils and damaged infrastructure exacerbate the risk of flash flooding from even moderate storms.
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale categorizes hurricanes from 1 to 5, based solely on their maximum sustained wind speeds, to estimate potential property damage. Categories 3 and above are classified as major hurricanes, capable of inflicting catastrophic wind damage and significant loss of life.
