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2026 Hurricane Season: Fewer Storms Expected
9 Apr
Summary
- Atlantic hurricane season forecast for 2026 predicts fewer storms than average.
- El Niño's expected arrival is a key factor in the below-average forecast.
- Coastal residents urged to prepare for each season regardless of predictions.

Researchers anticipate a below-average Atlantic hurricane season in 2026, with an estimated 13 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. This prediction stems from expected changes in atmospheric conditions, primarily the anticipated arrival of El Niño this summer, which typically leads to less intense and frequent Atlantic hurricanes.
While the forecast, released on Thursday, is preliminary and will be updated, it serves as an early warning for coastal communities. Experts emphasize that preparation should be a constant for residents in hurricane-prone areas, regardless of seasonal predictions. Last year's season saw 13 named storms, but none made direct landfall in the U.S., though some Caribbean islands experienced severe impacts, notably Jamaica by Hurricane Melissa.
The official hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, with peak activity usually occurring between August and October. Although the number of storms is predicted to be lower, the risk of a major hurricane making landfall along the U.S. coastline or in the Caribbean remains, with forecasts indicating a 32% chance for the U.S. and 35% for the Caribbean. Residents are reminded that a single storm can be devastating.