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Sovereign AI Race Intensifies as Nations Seek Strategic Control
15 Aug
Summary
- Nations compete to develop, deploy, and govern AI capabilities
- China narrows gap with US to 12 months in AI development
- Middle powers like Saudi Arabia and UAE target AI independence by 2030-2035

As of August 15, 2025, the global race for "sovereign AI" is intensifying, with nations vying to independently develop, deploy, and govern artificial intelligence capabilities across data, infrastructure, and algorithms. This strategic control over AI is seen as crucial for national security, economic growth, and innovation.
The United States has been leading the charge, blending public-private partnerships with export controls, such as a recent deal directing 15% of NVIDIA's China-bound chip sales to the federal government. However, China has rapidly narrowed the gap, aided by civil-military integration and partnerships with tech giants like Alibaba and Huawei.
Meanwhile, middle powers are emerging as "strategic players" in the sovereign AI landscape. Saudi Arabia has launched the HUMAIN initiative, featuring the development of an Arabic-language generative AI model called ALLAM, alongside plans to train one million citizens in AI. The United Arab Emirates is also focusing on building domestic data centers and infrastructure, with both countries targeting AI independence by 2030-2035.
The European Union's GAIA-X project aims to reduce reliance on U.S. hyperscalers, but fragmented regulations and slower innovation remain hurdles. Analysts expect "fragmentation is likely to persist" given the geopolitical competition and divergent regulations across nations.
While the benefits of sovereign AI include stronger national security, economic growth, and innovation, the risks include high infrastructure costs, fragmented innovation, data bias from localized datasets, and limited talent diversity. The United Nations could help set global norms on privacy, ethics, and explainability, but the race for technological supremacy is likely to continue.