Home / Sports / World Cup Picks: Longshot Goal Scorers Shine
World Cup Picks: Longshot Goal Scorers Shine
5 Jul
Summary
- Matheus Cunha is a value bet for Brazil vs. Norway at +165.
- Julian Quinones offers significant value for Mexico vs. England at +310.
- Norway's defense is a concern with high expected goals against.
The World Cup Round of 16 features compelling matchups, with betting opportunities focusing on potential goal scorers. Brazil faces Norway in a game that promises excitement. For Brazil, Matheus Cunha is identified as a promising anytime goal scorer at +165 odds. This pick is supported by his strong expected goals (xG) metrics, ranking 12th among all players in the tournament with 2.67 total xG and a per-90 minutes rate of 1.02.
Norway's defensive vulnerabilities, evidenced by an expected goals against per 90 minutes of 1.66, suggest Brazil will have ample scoring chances. In the other match, Mexico hosts England. Despite England having favored scorers, Julian Quinones of Mexico is highlighted as a valuable pick at +310. His ranking 10th in total xG with 2.71 positions him as a compelling choice, especially given the comparable defensive stats of both teams.
