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U.S. Open Shocker: Favorite to Falter?
20 Jun
Summary
- Model predicts Wyndham Clark will finish third in the U.S. Open.
- Clark has limited major success, with one top-20 finish in 18 majors.
- A longshot winner, longer than 50-1, is also predicted by the model.

As the 2026 U.S. Open enters its third round at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, a sophisticated simulation model has unveiled unexpected projections. The model, which has accurately predicted 17 major championships, forecasts that current leader Wyndham Clark will not maintain his advantage. Clark, who leads at 7 under par, is predicted to finish the tournament in third place. This projection comes despite his 2023 U.S. Open victory, considering his limited success in other majors, including only one top-20 finish. While Clark faces challenges, contenders like Matt Fitzpatrick and Xander Schauffele are closely trailing. The simulation also suggests a surprise winner will emerge, identifying a longshot golfer with odds exceeding 50-1 as a potential champion.