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Twins' Projections Mystify: Will 2026 Bring Playoff Hope?
1 Dec
Summary
- FanGraphs projections for the Twins have overestimated their record four of the last five seasons.
- New additions Alex Jackson, Ryan Kreidler, and Eric Orze have modest projections.
- First baseman Nathaniel Lowe was non-tendered, presenting a potentially affordable upgrade.
FanGraphs' early projections for the Minnesota Twins suggest an 82-80 record for 2026, a significant improvement that offers a potential path to playoff contention. However, historical data shows these projections have often been overly optimistic, with the Twins falling short of expectations in four of the last five seasons. This track record makes assessing future performance a challenge for the team.
The Twins have made several offseason additions, including catcher Alex Jackson, utility man Ryan Kreidler, and reliever Eric Orze. While their Triple-A performance has shown some promise, their major league projections are modest, indicating they may not be immediate game-changers. Jackson's defensive ability and Orze's potential as a middle reliever are noted, but deeper bullpen improvements are still desired.
In a move that could address roster weaknesses, first baseman Nathaniel Lowe was non-tendered. Despite a recent salary expectation of $13.5 million, his past performance, including a Silver Slugger and Gold Glove, makes him an attractive, potentially affordable option. Lowe could significantly upgrade the first base position, which currently has Kody Clemens at the top of the depth chart.
