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Twins' Payroll Woes: Can They Compete?
9 Feb
Summary
- Twins payroll is below Metrodome levels, adjusted for inflation.
- FanGraphs projects Twins for 80-82 wins with a 16% division win chance.
- Twins' starting pitching is considered the division's best position group.
The Minnesota Twins face skepticism regarding their ability to contend in the upcoming season due to a payroll adjustment that places them below historical Metrodome levels when accounting for inflation and league spending. FanGraphs forecasts an 80-82 win record for the team, with only a 16% probability of securing the division title and a 32% chance of reaching the playoffs. This projection appears optimistic, especially considering the team's performance at the end of the 2025 season.
Despite these financial constraints and projected outcomes, the Twins possess significant talent and potential, with hopes that a new coaching staff can help players reach their full capabilities. Their starting rotation is recognized as the best in the division, a strong asset when compared to rivals like the Tigers, who feature ace Tarik Skubal and new acquisition Framber Valdez, and the Guardians, known for their consistent competitiveness. The Royals' additions are marginal, and their catcher situation presents a youth challenge.
Key to the Twins' success will be improved health for players like Lewis, Keaschall, and Wallner, alongside substantial development from young hitters such as Lee, Roden, and top prospects Jenkins and Rodriguez. This mirrors the development paths that allowed the Tigers and Royals to be competitive in recent seasons. The team's ability to overcome flaws will be tested within MLB's weakest division, but the question remains whether owner Tom Pohlad's approach will enable them to truly compete without significant roster improvements.
