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Thunder vs. Spurs: Game 6, Who Takes the Series Lead?
29 May
Summary
- Spurs seek to tie the series 3-3 against the Thunder.
- The Thunder aim for back-to-back championships.
- SportsLine's model predicts the game total will go under 219.5.
The San Antonio Spurs are set to host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a pivotal Game 6 of the NBA Western Conference finals on Thursday night. The Spurs will be looking to even the series at three games apiece after the Thunder secured a 127-114 victory in Game 5.
Oklahoma City, the Northwest Division champions, are competing for their second consecutive NBA championship. Meanwhile, the Southwest Division champion Spurs are aiming to reach the NBA Finals for the first time since the 2013-14 season. Jalen Williams is questionable for the Thunder due to a hamstring issue, and Ajay Mitchell is out for the Spurs with a calf injury.
As of 2026-05-29T00:59:04+00:00, the Spurs hold a slight edge in postseason history against the Thunder, leading the all-time playoff series 21-18. The Spurs also won the regular-season series 4-1. The Spurs are currently favored by 3.5 points in Game 6, with an over/under of 219.5 total points.
SportsLine's Projection Model, which has a strong track record with NBA picks, has simulated this matchup 10,000 times. The model predicts that the total score will go under 219.5 points, a trend that has occurred in previous matchups in San Antonio and for the Spurs at home this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to lead the Thunder with 30.1 points, while Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 27 points.
