Steelers Trade Dilemma: Herbig's Value Skyrockets

The Pittsburgh Steelers are grappling with a significant decision regarding their defensive line, particularly concerning edge rusher Nick Herbig. Herbig's potential trade value has seen a dramatic increase on Kalshi, with his probability of being traded surging from 34% to 76% as of 2026-07-26T12:45:09+00:00. This heightened speculation is fueled by the Steelers' deep roster of edge rushers, including established stars TJ Watt and Alex Highsmith.

Kalshi has set a December 1 deadline for any trade resolution concerning Herbig. Despite his escalating value, a recent development complicates the situation: the Steelers extended Herbig's contract to a four-year, $100 million deal. This significant investment suggests that the team may opt to keep him, shifting the focus to potentially trading either Alex Highsmith or TJ Watt. Highsmith, who has two years remaining on his contract, and Watt, in the second year of a substantial extension, are now more likely trade candidates.

While TJ Watt's performance last season was below his career average, the Steelers have a history of respecting legacy players. The team's preseason will commence on August 13th against the Green Bay Packers, offering a glimpse into their roster decisions.