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Steelers' QB Draft Prediction Sparks Debate
6 Apr
Summary
- Steelers predicted to draft QB Ty Simpson at pick 21.
- ESPN Analytics model gives Simpson a 12% likelihood.
- Coach McCarthy confirms desire for young QB competition.

ESPN Analytics suggests the Pittsburgh Steelers are most likely to select Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson with the 21st overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. Their model gives Simpson a 12% probability, reflecting the organization's stated desire to draft a quarterback to foster competition. Head coach Mike McCarthy has openly discussed the team's intent to add young talent at the position, even if veteran Aaron Rodgers returns.
However, this projection may overlook other pressing needs. ESPN's analysis also highlights wide receiver, offensive guard, and cornerback as significant areas for improvement. The article posits that while quarterback is a need, it might not warrant a first-round selection, especially given the depth of talent available in later rounds. Players like Carson Beck, Drew Allar, and Taylen Green are identified as potential day-two or day-three targets for the Steelers.
With the 21st pick, the Steelers are advised to prioritize needs such as offensive line, pass-catching depth, or secondary reinforcement. While statistically, Ty Simpson appears as a likely first-round option, the article contends that the Steelers should explore other avenues with their early draft capital, suggesting that Simpson is more of a third-round prospect in a draft with limited first-round quarterback talent.