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PGA Championship: Surprising Leader Set to Tumble?
17 May
Summary
- Alex Smalley leads by two shots heading into the final round.
- A powerful model predicts Scottie Scheffler will rebound strongly.
- The model also forecasts unexpected runs from longshot contenders.
As the PGA Championship 2026 approaches its climax, Alex Smalley leads by two strokes heading into Sunday's Round 4 at Aronimink Golf Club. Despite his consistent performance through three rounds, a detailed simulation by SportsLine's proprietary model suggests Smalley will finish outside the top 5.
The model, renowned for its accuracy in predicting major tournaments, also projects a significant comeback for defending champion Scottie Scheffler. Scheffler, currently in T23, is expected to climb into the top 5, with the model highlighting his strong fourth-round scoring average.
Furthermore, the simulation has identified several longshot golfers who could make surprising runs, including one player with odds around 40-1 who is predicted to contend for the title. The model's insights offer valuable guidance for fans and bettors as the championship concludes.
