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Packers Draft Genius: Gutekunst's Hidden Success
20 Mar
Summary
- Packers GM Brian Gutekunst's last four drafts rank sixth in the league.
- Hit rate of 71 percent from 2022-2025, exceeding league average by 19 percent.
- Despite drafting solid players, the Packers lack star power compared to rivals.

Green Bay Packers General Manager Brian Gutekunst has compiled an impressive draft record over his last four years, with his selections ranking sixth in the league according to StickToTheModel.com. Between 2022 and 2025, Gutekunst achieved a 71 percent hit rate on his picks, which is 19 percent higher than the NFL average. This success includes identifying key players such as Zach Tom and Tucker Kraft.
Despite these drafting successes, the Packers have faced criticism regarding their first-round picks and a general lack of star power. While Gutekunst has drafted many solid starters, only a few have reached elite status, a stark contrast to the higher star rates seen with teams like the Detroit Lions. This imbalance may explain the team's consistent performance as a seventh-seed playoff contender.
Gutekunst's tenure has also seen significant trades, including Davante Adams in 2022 and Aaron Rodgers in 2023, which provided bonus draft capital. Looking ahead to 2026, the Packers will not have a first-round pick due to a previous trade, and Gutekunst will operate with limited draft capital, having only three selections within the top 150.
Past drafts show varying success, with 2022 being an 'A' rated draft and 2023 proving strong. The 2024 draft is still developing, with its first and third-round picks having limited roles. The team's overall draft capital ranks 30th, presenting a significant challenge for the upcoming draft.
This upcoming draft is crucial for Gutekunst, who is accustomed to having more draft resources. The team's ability to develop talent and find impact players will be tested as they aim to overcome their playoff rut and build a more consistently dominant roster.