NFC South: A Division Defined by Low Wins

The NFC South division is characterized by a surprising lack of dominance, with no team achieving more than 10 wins in recent seasons. Twice in the last four years, a losing record was sufficient to win the division. The Carolina Panthers clinched the title last season with an 8-9 record through a tiebreaker.

The upcoming season's race begins on September 13, 2026. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are under pressure with coach Todd Bowles on the hot seat and quarterback Baker Mayfield seeking a contract extension, motivated to prove his worth after a disappointing second half in 2025. General manager Jason Licht expressed confidence in Mayfield's current focus.

Improvements have been made to the Buccaneers' defense, with draft pick Rueben Bain Jr. being a notable addition. Meanwhile, Bryce Young, the Panthers' 2023 No. 1 overall pick, is expected to play out the season without a contract extension, despite having a strong playmaker in Tetairoa McMillan. Edge rusher Jaelan Phillips and linebacker Devin Lloyd bolster the Panthers' defense.

In Atlanta, Kevin Stefanski takes over as head coach, aiming for the Falcons' first winning season since 2017. Quarterback duties are contested between Tua Tagovailoa and Michael Penix Jr., with running back Bijan Robinson expected to be a central figure. The Falcons' defense faces challenges due to injuries and suspensions, potentially forcing the offense into high-scoring games.

The New Orleans Saints see optimism with quarterback Tyler Shough, who finished runner-up for AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. The team has added veteran running back Travis Etienne and drafted receiver Jordyn Tyson. However, defensive concerns arise from the loss of Bryan Bresee and Demario Davis. Despite these issues, the Saints are expected to contend for the division title.