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NASCAR Texas: Model Bets Big on Longshots!
2 May
Summary
- Mike McClure's model has predicted 29 winners since 2021.
- Tyler Reddick is surprisingly not favored by the model.
- Joey Logano, defending winner, is projected for a strong run.
Mike McClure's expert computer model, which boasts a record of 29 predicted winners since 2021, is offering its unique insights for the 2026 Wurth 400 at Texas Motor Speedway. Despite Tyler Reddick's historic five wins in the first nine races of the season, McClure's model predicts he will not finish in the top 5. This contrasts with his past performance at Texas, where he achieved a win with Richard Childress Racing.
Instead, the model highlights Joey Logano, the defending race winner, as a strong contender despite his +2700 odds due to a difficult season start. Logano's history at Texas includes multiple victories and frequent top-5 finishes. McClure's predictions also include two other longshots, each priced at +2700 or higher, with one at an impressive +7000, expected to contend for the lead.
Denny Hamlin is the current favorite at +500, followed by Tyler Reddick and Kyle Larson at +600. Carson Hocevar, fresh off his first Cup Series win, is at +1600. Brad Keselowski, with a strong track record at Texas, is a +2500 longshot.
