Michigan Football: Dark Horse for 2026 CFP?

The Michigan football program is generating considerable optimism for the 2026 season, with many expecting a significant step forward following a late 2025 stumble. Head coach Kyle Whittingham and his staff have instilled new energy, leading many to believe the Wolverines could emerge as a dark horse contender.

This optimism is reflected in Bill Connelly's 2026 Big Ten season preview. Connelly's SP+ projections rank Michigan 14th nationally and fifth in the Big Ten with a 16.0 rating, considering offensive, defensive, and special teams efficiencies, returning production, and recent history.

Connelly also places Michigan in the second tier of Big Ten College Football Playoff contenders, noting they are "a couple of breaks away from a run." Key players like quarterback Bryce Underwood and wide receiver Andrew Marsh, though young, are back and poised for growth.

Questions remain for the 2026 season. Connelly notes Whittingham's success without major recruits and questions his adjustment to coaching a highly recruited roster. The partnership between Underwood and offensive coordinator Jason Beck, and potential changes in Underwood's usage, are also points of interest.

Beyond team projections, Connelly highlights Michigan in one of his five best games of 2026: an October 24th matchup against Indiana, interestingly not "The Game" against Ohio State. Defensive end John Henry Daley is also recognized as one of Connelly's 10 favorite transfers in the conference.