Packers' Run Woes: Can Lions Exploit Weakness?

The Detroit Lions are set to face the Green Bay Packers, who have recently won three consecutive games, including dominant victories over the Bears and Cowboys.

The Packers' running game has been a significant weakness, averaging a mere 2.57 yards per carry in the second half against the Cowboys. This is concerning given Dallas's poor run defense, and systemic issues with Green Bay's offensive line persist, though the potential addition of guard Kevin Zeitler could help.

Defensively, Green Bay boasts impressive safeties Xavier McKinney and Evan Williams. Their versatility and Gannon's creative schemes have led to five interceptions and numerous playmaking opportunities this season. They are expected to challenge both Jared Goff and the Lions' receivers, particularly on deep and intermediate passes.

Green Bay's offense relies heavily on deep passing, benefiting from an NFL-leading 135 yards gained via defensive pass interference penalties on deep throws. Despite a modest EPA per deep shot, this aerial attack will test the Lions' secondary, which has struggled against deep passes, ranking last in EPA/pass.

Jordan Love has shown mixed results against the blitz. While he performed well against it in a recent game, his season-long stats against extra pressure are more average. The Lions, who excel at generating pressure without blitzing, may find success by testing the Packers' offensive line without overloading defenders.

Conversely, the Packers' own blitzing has been effective, disrupting opposing offenses. However, Detroit's offensive line, while improving, has allowed quick pressure against the blitz. Quarterback Jared Goff's ability to quickly release the ball has mitigated this, leading to a strong EPA per pass against the blitz for the Lions.