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Leafs' Playoff Hopes Hinge on Second Half Surge
6 Jan
Summary
- Maple Leafs are on a 90-point pace at season's halfway mark.
- Recent six-week surge places them on a 104-point pace.
- Playoff probability is currently estimated at 35 percent.

The Toronto Maple Leafs have reached the midpoint of their NHL season, currently tracking for a 90-point finish, which places them 17th overall. After a challenging start, the team has shown marked improvement in the last six weeks, performing at a 104-point pace. This recent surge has boosted hopes for a playoff appearance.
However, questions linger about the team's true identity, with a poor start and inconsistent play throughout the improved stretch. Advanced metrics reveal concerning possession numbers and reliance on good fortune, despite recent wins. Auston Matthews' current hot streak and potential for continued scoring is seen as a major X-factor.
Despite the recent positives, the Maple Leafs face a critical period leading up to the March 6 trade deadline. With limited assets and uncertain playoff contention, they may be forced into a 'neither buyer nor seller' position. Their playoff probability stands at 35 percent, with a challenging schedule ahead that will test their mettle.




