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Can India Still Reach The WTC Final?
9 Jan
Summary
- India's chances of reaching the WTC final are extremely low.
- A significant number of wins are needed in remaining matches.
- Australia and South Africa are strong contenders for the final.
The Indian Test team's prospects of reaching the World Test Championship (WTC) final are dire, with current data indicating only a 4% chance of qualification for the 2025-27 cycle. This follows their failure to make the 2023-25 final, highlighting a concerning trend in the team's performance in the longest format of the game.
To salvage their WTC final hopes, India must achieve an improbable feat of winning eight out of their remaining nine Test matches. This challenging scenario is exacerbated by recent home series struggles. The team's current win percentage of 48.15% further underscores the difficulty of this objective.
As of early 2026, Australia and South Africa are the dominant forces in the WTC standings, possessing strong probabilities of securing a place in the final. Australia holds a 91% chance, needing seven wins from their remaining 14 matches, while South Africa has a 71% chance with six wins required from their ten remaining fixtures.
