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Dodgers vs. Nationals: Model Predicts Runs Aplenty
3 Apr
Summary
- Model simulates the game 10,000 times for predictions.
- The over/under for total runs is set at 9.5.
- Four of six Nationals' games have exceeded the total.
The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Washington Nationals are set to clash in the first MLB matchup of Friday, with the model predicting a high number of runs. The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, forecasts that the total runs scored will exceed 9.5 in this series opener.
This prediction is bolstered by recent game statistics. Four of the Nationals' first six games this season have seen the total runs go over 9.5. Furthermore, the over has hit in six of the Nationals' last six games against the Dodgers, and in four of the Dodgers' last five road games against Washington.
Both starting pitchers, Emmet Sheehan for the Dodgers and Miles Mikolas for the Nationals, have shown elevated ERAs early in the 2026 season. Sheehan surrendered four earned runs in his debut, while Mikolas currently holds a 7.20 ERA. The model's simulations project a total of 9.6 runs being scored in the game.
