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Cowboys Shock Packers in Lambeau Upset
19 Oct
Summary
- Dallas Cowboys hold a +2 point differential despite a losing record.
- Green Bay Packers have a -8 point differential despite a winning record.
- Cowboys offense ranks high in EPA and success rate.
The Dallas Cowboys, holding a 2-3 record and a +2 point differential, are preparing to face the 3-2 Green Bay Packers. Notably, Green Bay enters the matchup with a -8 point differential, a stark contrast to their winning record. The Packers' defense ranks sixth in total EPA but struggles with a 18th overall success rate against an often underwhelming slate of opposing offenses.
The Cowboys' offense, however, has consistently performed well against a more challenging schedule, featuring teams like the Ravens and Buccaneers. They remain in the top seven for both EPA and success rate. This offensive strength, coupled with a potential 'comedown' effect for the Packers after a big win, suggests Dak Prescott could lead Dallas to a victory at Lambeau Field, especially following an unexpected loss to a rookie quarterback the previous week.
Defensively, Dallas has struggled significantly, being the league's worst in total EPA and allowing a 50% success rate. This vulnerability could allow Jordan Love to find success with targeted passes to Christian Watson and Matthew Golden.
