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Cardinals vs. Tigers: Model Predicts Over 7.5 Runs
4 Apr
Summary
- Model simulates the Cardinals vs. Tigers game 10,000 times.
- The model predicts the Over 7.5 combined runs in Saturday's game.
- Both teams averaged over 4 runs per game in the 2025 season.
The St. Louis Cardinals are set to face the Detroit Tigers in an interleague game on Saturday, aiming to tie their three-game series. The Tigers secured a 4-0 victory in Friday's opener. Based on 10,000 simulations, SportsLine's projection model anticipates the combined score will exceed 7.5 runs.
In the 2025 season, the Tigers averaged 4.7 runs per game, while the Cardinals averaged 4.3 runs. The Cardinals' pitching staff had a 4.29 ERA, ranking 21st in MLB. The model also projects specific players like Alec Burleson, J.J. Wetherholt, and Masyn Winn for the Cardinals, and Riley Greene, Kerry Carpenter, and Kevin McGonigle for the Tigers to exceed 1.49 total bases.
This projection indicates a favorable outcome for the Over, with simulations hitting this mark in 61% of instances, predicting approximately 8.8 combined runs. The model also identified value on one side of the money line for betting purposes.
