Home / Sports / Brewers vs. Cardinals: Model Predicts Over on Runs
Brewers vs. Cardinals: Model Predicts Over on Runs
6 May
Summary
- Model simulates Brewers vs. Cardinals 10,000 times.
- Model predicts over 8.5 combined runs in Wednesday's game.
- Brewers' Christian Yelich is out with a groin injury.
The Milwaukee Brewers are set to play the St. Louis Cardinals in the final game of their series on Wednesday afternoon. The Cardinals won the first game, while Tuesday's matchup was postponed due to weather. As of Wednesday, May 6, 2026, the Brewers have a 18-16 record, while the Cardinals stand at 21-14. Milwaukee's Christian Yelich is sidelined with a groin injury.
SportsLine's projection model has simulated this matchup 10,000 times, favoring an outcome of over 8.5 combined runs. The model's analysis also indicates value on one side of the money line. This prediction comes as both teams rank highly in runs scored, with Milwaukee at 175 and St. Louis at 172.
The model projects key offensive performances from players like Garrett Mitchell and William Contreras for the Brewers, and Alec Burleson for the Cardinals. The over 8.5 runs prediction is expected to hit in 59.1% of simulations, with a projected 9.6 combined runs.
