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Aston Villa: The Premier League's Overachievers
18 May
Summary
- Aston Villa overperforms expectations by 15 points, sitting 12th.
- Villa's shot conversion rate of 11% is remarkably high.
- The team reached their first major European final since 1982.

Aston Villa is currently the Premier League's most overperforming team, a full eight places and 15 points above their predicted position of 12th according to Opta's expected table. While their 54 goals rank seventh and shot count ninth, their efficiency is notable.
Villa's shot conversion rate stands at 11%, surpassed only by Brentford, Manchester City, and Arsenal. They've scored 7.58 more goals than their expected goals (xG) of 46.42, a figure significantly lower than their top-six rivals.
Remarkably, 28% of Villa's goals originate from outside the box, a percentage higher than most clubs. However, they convert only 29% of their big chances, the lowest rate in the league.
This strong league performance is balanced with European success, as Aston Villa reached their first major European final since winning the European Cup in 1982. Manager Unai Emery emphasized his demanding approach, stating that competing on multiple fronts is not an excuse.