What are the surprising predictions for the 2026 PGA Championship?

The model projects Bryson DeChambeau to barely crack the top five and suggests a strong showing from Tommy Fleetwood, who has longer odds.

Who is the favorite for the 2026 PGA Championship according to the model?

Scottie Scheffler is the favorite, and the model predicts a strong performance from him in the championship.

How many times was the 2026 PGA Championship simulated?

The 2026 PGA Championship was simulated 10,000 times by the model.

Home / Sports / PGA Championship 2026: Surprising Model Picks Revealed

PGA Championship 2026: Surprising Model Picks Revealed

24 Apr

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Summary

A model simulates the 2026 PGA Championship 10,000 times.
Top favorite Scottie Scheffler is predicted to perform well.
Surprises include DeChambeau falling short and Fleetwood excelling.

PGA Championship 2026: Surprising Model Picks Revealed

The 2026 PGA Championship, set to begin Thursday, May 14, at Aronimink Golf Club, is the subject of a detailed 10,000-simulation analysis by a specialized golf model. This model, which has a proven track record of accurately predicting major golf tournaments, including 17 previous majors, has released its surprising early projections for this year's event.

Scottie Scheffler, currently the favorite at +340, is predicted to perform strongly in the championship. However, the simulations highlight potential surprises, notably Bryson DeChambeau, who is projected to barely finish in the top five. This forecast comes despite DeChambeau's past consistent performances at this event, contrasting with his recent struggles and withdrawal due to wrist discomfort.