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Masters Model Picks: Shocking Longshots Expected to Shine
18 Mar
Summary
- Xander Schauffele's performance is predicted to falter significantly.
- Collin Morikawa is surprisingly favored by the model's projections.
- The model identifies two additional longshots with strong potential.

A cutting-edge golf model has simulated the 2026 Masters tournament 10,000 times, uncovering surprising predictions. The simulation suggests that Xander Schauffele, despite being a favored two-time major winner, will experience a downturn, narrowly finishing outside the top 10. His recent performance shows struggles on the green, ranking 76th in putting, a stark contrast to his 2024 form. Schauffele's past Masters history also shows more missed cuts than top finishes in recent appearances.
In contrast, the model shows significant favor towards Collin Morikawa, who is listed at +2700. Morikawa has demonstrated remarkable consistency at Augusta National, with more top-five and top-10 finishes there than at any other major. Having won at Pebble Beach in February and securing a seventh-place finish at the Genesis, he is entering the Masters in strong form.
The model further identifies two additional longshots, priced at +3000 or greater, for the 2026 Masters. One of these contenders is even as high as +5000, presenting an opportunity for substantial betting returns. These unexpected picks could significantly alter the projected leaderboard for the upcoming tournament.




