Vietnam's Population Peak: Aging Ahead

Vietnam's population is anticipated to reach its zenith around 2059, followed by a period of slow growth or stability. This projection, based on recent demographic analyses, signals a significant transition for the nation.

The "golden population structure," characterized by a large working-age population, is expected to conclude by 2036. Subsequently, Vietnam will face an aging population, increasing pressure on labor supply and social services.

Furthermore, persistent gender imbalances at birth are projected to continue into the mid-21st century. Urbanization is slowing, and internal migration has notably decreased, from 6.4 million between 2014-2019 to 3.8 million from 2019-2024.

Despite the overall decline in migration, ethnic minority groups show a slight decrease, indicating progress in localized development. However, illiteracy rates remain higher among smaller ethnic communities, linked to factors like early marriage and low educational attainment.