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Science Uncertainty Fuels Political Doubt
15 Apr
Summary
- Nearly half of social science study results are unreproducible.
- New studies show newer papers shared data more often.
- Political leaders misuse uncertainty, causing inaction.

Recent studies indicate that a significant portion of published social science research, nearly 49%, fails to replicate original findings. This ongoing issue, highlighted by the seven-year Score project, affects various research fields, including biomedical science.
Newer academic papers and those requiring extensive data sharing demonstrate better reproducibility. However, political discourse often misrepresents scientific uncertainty as evidence of failure, potentially leading to policy paralysis. This trend was noted in a May 2025 White House executive order emphasizing the "reproducibility crisis."
While large-scale verification projects are rare due to researcher incentives, greater transparency and mandatory data sharing, as practiced by some major funders like the UK Economic and Social Research Council, are crucial. Such measures help identify errors and combat fraud, ultimately strengthening public trust in social science.