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India's Population Boom Ends: Stabilizing Below 2 Billion by 2080
30 Nov, 2025
Summary
- India's population is projected to stabilize around 1.8-1.9 billion by 2080.
- Total fertility rate has fallen significantly from 3.5 in 2000 to 1.9 currently.
- Development, education, and access to contraception are key drivers of this decline.
India's demographic trajectory is shifting, with projections indicating a population stabilization by 2080 at approximately 1.8 to 1.9 billion people. This forecast is a direct result of a significant drop in the total fertility rate (TFR), which has decreased from 3.5 in 2000 to the current 1.9, falling below the replacement level.
The decline in fertility is attributed to advancements in development and education. Rising female literacy rates have empowered women to make more informed decisions about marriage and family size. Furthermore, increased access to contraceptives and greater control over reproductive choices have accelerated this trend.
As birth rates fall, life expectancy is rising due to improved healthcare. This demographic transition presents new challenges, such as elder care, especially with increased migration for work. Experts emphasize the need for solutions like day-care facilities for the elderly.
