How many preventable deaths could result from aid cuts by 2030?

Analysis projects up to 22.6 million preventable deaths in Low and Middle-Income Countries by 2030 due to cuts in humanitarian and development aid.

What is the projected impact of aid cuts on child mortality?

An estimated 5.4 million children under five years old could die preventable deaths by 2030 if aid funding is significantly reduced.

What has been the historical impact of development aid on mortality rates?

Higher levels of Official Development Assistance (ODA) funding have been associated with substantial declines in all-cause mortality and deaths from major communicable diseases.

Home / Health / Aid Cuts Spark Catastrophic Global Health Crisis

Aid Cuts Spark Catastrophic Global Health Crisis

3 Feb

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Summary

22.6 million preventable deaths feared by 2030 due to aid cuts.
Child mortality projected to increase significantly without aid.
Aid funding was previously linked to lower death rates.

Aid Cuts Spark Catastrophic Global Health Crisis

A significant reduction in humanitarian and development aid from high-income nations could result in a catastrophic increase in preventable deaths, with projections indicating up to 22.6 million deaths by 2030 in Low and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs). This alarming figure includes an estimated 5.4 million deaths among children under five years old.

This projected crisis follows a trend observed in 2024, marking the first time in nearly three decades that major donors, excluding Japan, decreased their contributions. Preliminary forecasts suggest further substantial cuts, with an overall decline of over 11 percent anticipated between 2025 and 2026.

Historically, increased funding for Official Development Assistance (ODA) has been directly associated with significant reductions in mortality rates. The study highlights a 23 percent decrease in all-cause mortality and a 39 percent drop in under-five mortality linked to higher funding levels.