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Flu Cases Spike 30%: Is Your Shot Working?
19 Oct
Summary
- Positive flu tests increased 30% in the past week.
- Current vaccines target H1N1, B/Victoria, and a variant of H3N2.
- Adult flu vaccination rates fell to a seven-season low in 2024-2025.

Flu activity is escalating, with a 30 percent increase in positive tests reported over the last week. This early-onset flu season has prompted concerns about the effectiveness of this year's vaccine, which targets strains such as H1N1, B/Victoria, and a variant of H3N2. While early evidence suggests a good match against some strains, uncertainty remains regarding its protection against H1N1.
Despite the ongoing need for protection, adult flu vaccination rates have declined, reaching a seven-season low of 41.9 percent in 2024-2025. Experts attribute this trend to vaccine hesitancy and misinformation. Medical professionals stress that even imperfect protection from the vaccine can significantly reduce the risk of severe illness and death, with flu causing millions of illnesses annually.
Vaccination is particularly important now, as flu season typically runs from September or October through April or May. The flu shot takes about two weeks to become fully effective by triggering antibody development. Newer mRNA flu shots offer enhanced protection and faster manufacturing capabilities. Doctors advise getting vaccinated promptly to ensure protection during peak colder months.