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Salmon Face Peril as Rivers Run Low on Vancouver Island
10 Sep
Summary
- Salmon spawning success varies widely across Vancouver Island's rivers.
- Western and northern rivers have good conditions, eastern rivers are low.
- An El Niño forecast suggests a warmer, potentially drier fall and winter.
Salmon are beginning to gather in Vancouver Island's estuaries, but their ability to spawn successfully is a cause for concern, with conditions varying significantly across the region. Hydrologists note that rivers on the west and north coasts are experiencing normal or even above-normal water levels.
However, many rivers, especially on the eastern side and in the south, are alarmingly low for this time of year. Waterways between Nanaimo and Victoria are particularly strained due to a dry summer. The Koksilah River, for instance, has seen critically low levels, requiring temporary water use restrictions to protect fish habitat, a situation narrowly averted by recent rainfall.
Further north in Campbell River, stream keepers also report low flows, raising hopes for increased rainfall as coho salmon begin their migration. Forecasts for September to November indicate warmer and potentially drier conditions due to a strong El Niño, with traditional heavy fall rains not expected until late September or later.
This anticipated warmer weather could impact next year's snowpack, potentially perpetuating the cycle of concern for low river levels. The duration of this situation is ongoing as chinook salmon, which typically begin spawning at the end of September, are currently staging in estuaries and facing increased predation risks due to low water preventing their upstream journey.