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San Rafael Sinks: Rising Seas Threaten Vulnerable Neighborhood
13 Dec
Summary
- San Rafael's Canal District is the Bay Area's most vulnerable, sinking neighborhood.
- The dense, working-class neighborhood faces permanent inundation by 2050.
- Adaptation costs range from $719 million to $1.9 billion.

San Rafael's Canal District, a densely populated and historically vulnerable neighborhood, is actively sinking and faces severe threats from rising sea levels. Built on reclaimed land, this predominantly Latino and working-class community is already experiencing tidal flooding, with projections indicating permanent inundation by 2050. The area's unique topography exacerbates its risk, making it highly susceptible to combined threats from seismic activity and climate change.
Adapting the Canal District presents significant challenges due to extensive private land ownership, hindering the construction of essential seawalls and levees. Immediate solutions like elevating roadways and upgrading pump stations are being explored, alongside long-term strategies such as acquiring private properties for shoreline protection. These measures are projected to cost between $719 million and $1.9 billion, requiring substantial external funding.




