What is the current winter precipitation deficit in India?

As of February 23, India is experiencing a nationwide winter precipitation deficit of -59%, with East and North-East India facing the most severe shortfall.

When is improved rainfall expected in India?

Long-term outlooks suggest a potential shift in weather patterns for March, with increased western disturbance activity expected from mid-March.

Which regions in India are most affected by the winter deficit?

East and North-East India have suffered the worst, recording a -92% deficit, followed by Central India at -81%.

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India Faces Severe Winter Deficit: All Regions Suffer

24 Feb

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Summary

Winter precipitation deficit stands at -59% nationwide as of February 23.
East and North-East India recorded the worst deficit at -92%.
Improved rainfall is predicted for March, potentially benefiting western and southern regions.

India Faces Severe Winter Deficit: All Regions Suffer

As of February 23, India is grappling with a significant winter precipitation deficit of -59% nationwide. Only the South Peninsula has seen marginal benefits. The East and North-East regions have suffered the most, recording a deficit of -92%, while Central India faces an -81% shortfall. North-West India, though comparatively better off, still has a -48% deficit. A weak western disturbance is anticipated to bring isolated light to moderate rain or snow to North-West India's hills next week, with similar, minimal effects expected in Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh.

Looking ahead, forecasts from the US's Climate Forecast System and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts suggest a potential improvement in March. Western disturbance activity may increase over North-West India from mid-March to early April, with a higher chance of more substantial rainfall benefiting regions like Gujarat, west Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and west Uttar Pradesh. East and North-East India, as well as parts of South India, may also experience some gains in rainfall during this period.

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