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Monsoon Divergence: Extreme Rain in East, Drought Fears in West
14 Jul
Summary
- Extreme rainfall predicted for Meghalaya and West Bengal on July 13.
- Monsoon activity subdued across northwest, west-central, and peninsular India.
- Heatwave conditions possible in isolated pockets of Coastal Andhra Pradesh.
India is experiencing a significant monsoon divergence, with extreme rainfall expected in eastern regions while western and southern areas face a subdued monsoon.
On July 13, Meghalaya and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim are predicted to receive extremely heavy rainfall. Northeast India, Bihar, and parts of West Bengal will continue to see heavy to very heavy showers over the next few days. Gangetic West Bengal anticipates heavy rain until July 17, and Odisha could experience heavy to very heavy rainfall between July 13 and 16.
Conversely, monsoon activity is forecast to be weak across northwest India, west-central India, and south Peninsular India for the upcoming week. Only isolated to scattered rainfall is expected in Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Gujarat, and several southern states, with activity potentially increasing in Konkan & Goa, Coastal Karnataka, and Kerala towards the end of the forecast period.
Several states are also bracing for thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds, with speeds reaching up to 60 kmph in some areas. Despite the monsoon's presence, isolated pockets of Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam face a heatwave warning from July 13 to July 15. Delhi-NCR will likely experience partly cloudy skies with maximum temperatures between 36°C and 39°C, and no significant rainfall is expected.
The current weather patterns are influenced by a combination of systems, including the monsoon trough and Western Disturbances, concentrating rain in the east and limiting activity in the west and peninsula.
