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Global Emissions Rise in 2025, India's Growth Slows Amid Renewable Surge
13 Nov
Summary
- Global carbon emissions to rise 1.1% in 2025, slower than recent years
- India's emissions growth projected at 1.4%, down from 4% in 2024
- Remaining 1.5°C carbon budget to be exhausted before 2030
According to the latest report from the Global Carbon Project, global carbon emissions are projected to rise by 1.1% in 2025, reaching a record high. However, the growth in India's emissions is expected to slow to 1.4%, down from 4% in 2024. This slower increase is partly attributed to a favorable monsoon that reduced cooling demand, as well as strong growth in renewable energy, leading to lower coal use.
China's emissions are also projected to increase by a more moderate 0.4% in 2025, due to a combination of moderate energy consumption growth and extraordinary renewable energy expansion. Meanwhile, emissions are expected to grow in the United States (1.9%) and the European Union (0.4%) in 2025.
Despite these developments, the news is not all positive. The report warns that the remaining carbon budget to limit global warming to 1.5°C is "virtually exhausted" and will be gone before 2030 at the current emission rate. Professor Pierre Friedlingstein of the University of Exeter's Global Systems Institute, who led the study, stated that "with CO2 emissions still increasing, keeping global warming below 1.5°C is no longer plausible."
