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El Niño Returns: Could It Be a Record-Breaker?
17 Jun
Summary
- A new El Niño event officially began on June 11th, 2026.
- Sea surface temperatures may rise over 2.5°C, potentially unprecedented.
- El Niño amplifies climate change effects, making the world warmer.

A significant climatic pattern known as El Niño has officially commenced, as announced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on June 11th, 2026. This recurring phenomenon is characterized by shifts in Pacific equatorial winds, leading to warmer ocean surface temperatures and widespread weather alterations globally.
Current projections indicate that sea surface temperatures may exceed a 2.5°C rise above the long-run average, potentially surpassing previous records from the last 75 years. A rise of 2°C is already considered strong, suggesting this El Niño could be exceptionally powerful.
El Niño events do not cause climate change but significantly amplify its effects. Historically, strong El Niños, such as those in 1997-1998 and 2015-2016, have coincided with record-breaking global temperatures. With 2024 already being a significantly warm year, climate modellers anticipate 2027 could experience even higher temperatures due to this ongoing El Niño.