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El Niño Returns: India Faces Drought Fears
24 Apr
Summary
- El Niño event expected mid-2026 with potential for strong intensity.
- Record low snow reserves in Hindu Kush Himalaya for fourth year.
- India anticipates below-normal monsoon due to El Niño and low snow.
The World Meteorological Organisation forecasts a strong El Niño event to develop by mid-2026, with a high degree of confidence following a neutral phase. This warmer Pacific Ocean cycle typically disrupts weather patterns, and for India, it often means a weaker monsoon season. This prediction comes as a significant concern for India's agricultural sector and broader economy.
Concurrently, snow reserves across the Hindu Kush Himalaya have reached a record low for the fourth successive year. Data from the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development reveals persistent declines, indicating a systemic issue with regional water resources. This critical reduction in snowpack, a key indicator for water availability, compounds the challenges India faces with the anticipated below-normal monsoon rainfall.
