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El Nino Watch Issued: Global Drought Fears Rise
19 Feb
Summary
- El Nino watch signals potential for drought-bearing weather.
- Above-normal temperatures are likely globally, with exceptions.
- Below-normal precipitation is predicted for India and other regions.
The APEC Climate Center has issued an El Nino watch, signaling the potential emergence of drought-inducing weather patterns in the coming seasons. Predictions indicate a high likelihood of above-normal temperatures across most of the globe, with specific regions like India, western Europe, and much of South America expected to experience warmer conditions. Several areas, including India, Central America, and northern South America, also face an increased probability of below-normal precipitation.
This forecast raises concerns for India, potentially mirroring the impact of El Nino in 2023, which led to deficient monsoons and drought affecting significant agricultural output. El Nino's typical effects include prolonged dry spells across Asia and parts of Africa. Seasonal outlooks suggest varied precipitation patterns, with above-normal rainfall expected in parts of the Pacific and below-normal rainfall anticipated in regions like the Maritime Continent and southern Australia.
