Home / Environment / Pacific Braces for First Tropical Storm of Season
Pacific Braces for First Tropical Storm of Season
29 May
Summary
- First potential tropical system tracked off Mexico's coast.
- El Niño expected to enhance Pacific hurricane activity.
- Eastern Pacific forecast predicts above-normal season.
Forecasters are tracking the initial potential tropical system for the Eastern Pacific hurricane season. This disturbance, located southwest of the Baja California Peninsula, has a 60 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression by mid-next week.
The Eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15 to November 30. Unlike the Atlantic, which anticipates a below-average season, the Pacific is projected to experience above-normal activity. This forecast includes an estimated 15 to 22 named storms, with 9 to 14 potentially becoming hurricanes, and 5 to 9 developing into major hurricanes.
El Niño is a significant factor influencing this prediction. Its warming ocean surface temperatures and reduced wind shear in the Eastern Pacific typically enhance storm formation and intensity. While most Pacific storms drift westward, those forming closer to Mexico can bring substantial rainfall and dangerous surf to coastal areas. Residents in hurricane-prone regions are advised to prepare emergency plans and supplies.
