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Jobs Surge: Fed Rate Cut Hopes Fade
12 Feb
Summary
- Dow futures saw a slight increase, while S&P and Nasdaq futures showed minor fluctuations.
- The January nonfarm payrolls report showed a robust 130,000 jobs added.
- Strong jobs data complicates the Federal Reserve's outlook on potential interest rate cuts.

U.S. stock futures showed minimal change Wednesday night, following a trading session where the Dow Jones Industrial Average's three-day winning streak concluded. Dow futures rose by 21 points, or 0.04%, with S&P 500 futures up 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.01%.
Earlier in the day, Wall Street experienced a downturn, with the Dow falling 66 points and the Nasdaq dipping 0.2%. The S&P 500 also ended slightly lower after an initial rally. This rally was spurred by a strong January nonfarm payrolls report, which indicated 130,000 jobs were added, surpassing economist forecasts and a revised December gain. The unemployment rate also decreased to 4.3%.
The positive jobs report offered relief from concerns about slowing economic growth. However, it concurrently complicated the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, suggesting fewer rate cuts might occur if inflation persists. Investors are now keenly focused on Friday's consumer price index (CPI) report, which is expected to provide crucial insights into inflationary pressures and help the Fed balance its dual mandate.
"It's going to put a lot of weight on Friday's CPI report, because if that comes in tame, at least the market can understand that the inflation part of the Fed's equation is cooling," stated Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. He added that strong job market data provides macro stability, averting fears of an economic downturn.
Further labor market data, including weekly jobless claims, is scheduled for release Thursday morning, alongside the existing home sales report. Restaurants Brands International is also expected to report earnings before the market opens on Thursday.




