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Inflation Fears Rise: Consumers Cite Near-Term Price Hikes
7 Jul
Summary
- Americans' near-term inflation expectations rose in June.
- Consumers project moderating gasoline price gains ahead.
- Consumers are more upbeat on finances and the labor market.

Americans' apprehension regarding near-term inflation surged in June, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York report. Projections for inflation one year ahead increased to 3.7%, the highest since September 2023, while three-year expectations also climbed.
This uptick in near-term inflation expectations coincides with global events that have significantly impacted energy prices, contributing to an overall increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index. Though recent energy price retreats offer some hope for moderating future price pressures, Federal Reserve officials remain focused on keeping inflation expectations anchored.
Despite rising inflation concerns, the survey also revealed positive shifts in consumer sentiment. Individuals expressed greater optimism about their current and future personal finances and viewed the labor market more favorably. Additionally, expectations for gasoline price increases moderated in June, reaching levels not seen since August 2022.