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Pound Plummets: Traders Bet Heavily Against Sterling
21 Dec
Summary
- Traders have placed nearly £6 billion in bets against the pound.
- Investor sentiment against sterling is the most negative in six years.
- Bank of England has cut interest rates six times since summer 2024.
Speculators have dramatically increased their bets against the British pound, reaching the highest level in six years, with nearly £6 billion now wagered against sterling. This sentiment is more negative than during the Liz Truss era’s mini-Budget crisis in 2022, reflecting concerns about the UK economy and fiscal policy.
The Bank of England has reduced interest rates six times since summer 2024, bringing them down from 4% to 3.75%. Further rate cuts are anticipated, making the pound less attractive for investors. Concerns about the UK's public finances, slow economic growth, and potential political instability following May's local elections are also contributing factors.
The scale of 'shorting' sterling suggests traders anticipate a decline in its value. While a weaker pound aids exporters, it increases import costs and fuels inflation. Chancellor Rachel Reeves has introduced substantial tax increases, impacting business confidence and contributing to a five-year high in unemployment at 5.1%.
