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TSMC: The Chip Monopoly Quietly Dominating AI
6 Dec
Summary
- TSMC effectively monopolizes sub-7nm chip production, commanding premium prices.
- AI demand and packaging constraints create predictable, high-commitment revenue streams.
- The company strategically guides conservatively, yet consistently beats expectations.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is strategically positioned as a dominant, near-monopolistic infrastructure provider in the semiconductor industry. The company has mastered the art of conservative guidance, consistently sandbagging expectations only to exceed them, thereby reinforcing market trust and masking its true market dominance. Major clients like Apple and Nvidia are securing years of capacity at premium rates, underscoring TSMC's unparalleled pricing power.
Driven by the insatiable demand for artificial intelligence, traditional semiconductor cycles have evolved into predictable, high-commitment revenue streams. Customers are pre-paying for exponential compute growth, which further strengthens TSMC's leverage and supports sustained price increases per wafer. Constraints in advanced packaging, such as CoWoS, exacerbate scarcity, compelling long-term customer commitments and deepening their reliance on TSMC's services.




