SpaceX Rockets Higher, Eyes Tesla Acquisition

SpaceX's valuation has significantly increased following its recent trading debut, improving the financial viability of a potential acquisition of Tesla. SpaceX president and COO Gwynne Shotwell alluded to the possibility of such a merger during a June 12 interview, noting a future convergence of their operations that could simplify Elon Musk's business empire.

Tesla's market capitalization hovers around $1.5 trillion, a valuation heavily reliant on anticipated profits from robots and self-driving cars, which are not yet significant revenue generators. This contrasts with Tesla's declining GAAP net earnings, which fell to $3.4 billion in the past four quarters from $15 billion in 2023. Wall Street sentiment includes fears that SpaceX's potential bid is a factor in Tesla's current valuation.

Newer financial figures show SpaceX's shares climbed 37% to $185 by June 18, boosting its valuation to $2.44 trillion. This surge means SpaceX could acquire Tesla by issuing approximately 38% of its shares, a reduction from the previously estimated 46% based on pre-trading valuations.

Analysts and investors have previously considered a merger likely, with Wedbush analyst Dan Ives estimating an 80% probability. Long-time Tesla investor Ross Gerber views a combined entity as a potential 'Berkshire Hathaway of AI-driven tech,' especially after Musk integrated xAI into SpaceX.