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OpenAI Fires Employee for Prediction Market Insider Trading
28 Feb
Summary
- OpenAI terminated an employee for using confidential information.
- Betting on future product releases via prediction markets is prohibited.
- Prediction markets are now cracking down on insider trading.

OpenAI has dismissed an employee suspected of leveraging confidential internal knowledge to engage in betting on external prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. The termination followed an internal inquiry that confirmed the employee used non-public OpenAI information for personal financial gain on these platforms. OpenAI reiterated its strict policy prohibiting the use of confidential information for such purposes.
This event underscores a broader challenge emerging for prediction markets, which have faced scrutiny for facilitating insider trading. While initially expressing openness to informed positions, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are now actively banning individuals accused of such practices. This shift signifies a move towards greater regulation and adherence to corporate partnerships.
Recent weeks have seen increased enforcement, including the indictment of bettors in Israel for using privileged military information and Kalshi's ban of two individuals implicated in insider trading. These actions signal a new, more regulated direction for the prediction market industry.




