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Nifty Fears: Traders Brace for Downturn as VIX Holds Steady
7 Sep
Summary
- Nifty trades below 24,000, VIX remains near 10% with recent decline.
- FIIs increase short positions, near record low long-to-short ratio observed.
- Nifty Pharma Index breaks key support, Nifty FMCG Index nears crucial support.
The Nifty is experiencing cautious trading, remaining below 24,000, with the Volatility Index (VIX) holding steady near 10% despite a recent decline. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have significantly increased their short positions in index futures throughout the past week, pushing their long-to-short ratio close to historic lows.
Conversely, some FIIs have also increased their long positions, signaling a potential tactical approach expecting market upswings in the upcoming week. This mixed sentiment indicates a cautious yet opportunistic stance among major investors.
Technically, the Nifty Pharma Index has shown vulnerability, slipping below its rising wedge pattern support. Further weakness is anticipated unless it can reclaim this level, with 26,160 identified as a critical support zone. Momentum indicators suggest a bearish bias for the pharma sector.
The Nifty FMCG Index is also under pressure, approaching a key support area around 45,400. While the overall setup remains weak, oversold conditions are emerging, which could signal a potential stabilization or a relief bounce if support holds. Several FMCG heavyweights are mirroring this trend, trading near their support levels.